Executive Summary
The UK is sliding back into
recession and Eurozone unemployment has hit new highs. Uncertainty stalks
China, Brazil and other rising economies. We may be heading for a global
recession.
Politicians call for austerity and little else. But spending cuts are
economically illiterate. They wreck weak economies by locking them into a
cycle explained by John Maynard Keynes over 80 years ago:
- Cuts mean job losses and falling demand for goods and services.
- Falling demand means firms sell less.
- Firms selling cause wages to fall and unemployment to rise even more.
- Demand for goods and services falls further.
- Then, as demand collapses and economies shrink, debts become unpayable.
Breaking this vicious circle is the first step towards recovery. But we can’t return to the old world of chronic dependence on carbon and debt. This is a short guide to how the crisis broke, and some ideas on how to get out of it.
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